Full bibliography

Study topic:
Economic modelling of HealthPathways’ impact on health system costs and resource allocation, using international case studies and simulations.

Study type:
Independent economic modelling and cost-minimisation analysis.

Key findings:

• HealthPathways implementation across a hypothetical OECD country (population 5 million) yields an average net saving of NZ$442.9 million over five years.
• The model estimates a return on investment (ROI) of 876%, or NZ$9.76 for every NZ$1 invested.
• System-level impacts (e.g. reduced acute bed days and planned care referrals) drive most of the savings, with 99–100% of simulations showing cost reductions.
• Disease-specific impacts (e.g. diabetes, orthopaedics, COPD) show more variable savings, highlighting the importance of system-wide implementation.
• The model is conservative, excluding long-term and non-monetary benefits such as improved patient experience, clinician satisfaction, and system integration.